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Industry News

Holiday retail sales could hit $1.1 trillion, Deloitte predicts

September 19, 2018

Christmas will be kind to retailers this year, according to Deloitte.

Holiday retail sales in 2018 are set to grow by between 5 and 5.6 percent over last year's sales, according to a report released by Deloitte on Wednesday and cited by CNBC. Sales could reach $1.1 trillion, the corporate consulting firm says.

"We think most retailers will have a good holiday season if they have a distinctive value proposition," said Rod Sides, vice chairman of Deloitte's U.S. retail and distribution practice, as reported by CNBC. "We think off-price will continue to do well, and there will be a rebound in luxury."

Deloitte attributes this projected sales growth in part to low unemployment and strong consumer confidence.

“We think most retailers will have a good holiday season if they have a distinctive value proposition”

Off-price retailers such as Marshalls, Ross Stores and T.J.Maxx are likely to do particularly well, Deloitte predicts. A recent ICSC report reveals that discount stores enjoy universal popularity among men and women and across all age groups. But Sides says luxury retailers will probably do well also.

Though e-commerce holiday sales are anticipated to rise by as much as 22 percent — hitting perhaps $134 billion, up from last year’s $110 billion — a significant amount of this will be generated by physical retailers that also operate online. Notably, customers are increasingly ordering merchandise online and then picking up at stores, the report notes.

By Edmund Mander

Director, Editor-In-Chief/SCT

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