Shopping Centers Today -> April 2008
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SALE-LEASEBACK DEALS SURGE

Sale-leaseback transactions are gaining in popularity as more retailers seek to unlock the value of their property holdings and focus on selling merchandise. The trend is particularly strong in Europe, where in 2007 about $27 billion worth of sale-leaseback deals were done, according to Real Capital Analytics. While that number includes some office transactions, Tesco's sale of 37 stores for about $2 billion made up a good bit of the total. About 10 percent of the office, industrial and retail properties that sold last year in Europe, Asia and Africa involved a leaseback by the seller, while the percentage was closer to 5 percent in the U.S. Although Asia accounted for less than $5 billion of total sales last year overall, 16 percent of the region's retail property deals were sale-leasebacks, a much higher share than in either the U.S. or Europe.

GLOBAL DEALS GREW IN '07

2007 was a busy year for retail property investors worldwide, with about $173 billion worth of retail real estate changing hands, according to Real Capital Analytics' annual Global Capital Trends report. While this year's investment climate will be significantly chillier, last year's numbers reveal some driving trends, most notably the use of complex financial engineering to structure deals, and increasing transparency.

Nearly 1.2 billion square feet changed hands last year, equivalent to all of London, Tokyo and Manhattan combined. After office properties, shopping centers were the second-most-active property type, with 17 percent of the total. About $69 billion of that activity involved U.S. properties. But Europe saw the most action, with eight of the top 10 most-active retail markets belonging to the EU. The U.K. was especially hot, with an average sale price per square foot of $755, more than double the global average of $283 per square foot. In the U.S., the average was $197 per square foot. The average cap rate for global retail properties was 6.2 percent in 2007, while in the U.S., it was 6.5 percent. Germany had the highest average cap rate, at 6.9 percent, while the U.K. had the lowest, at 4.8 percent.

CHINA RISING

Asia is set to eclipse Europe as the globe's hottest commercial real estate market, and China will lead the pack, according to Real Capital Analytics. Half of all land acquired by developers around the world last year located in China, the firm reports. China saw about $60 billion in commercial property acquisitions last year, compared to $510 billion in the U.S., but $50 billion of that was for undeveloped land, much of which will eventually become mixed-use and retail space, Real Capital Analytics reports. And it's not just top-tier cities that are attracting investors. While such cities as Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou have seen property prices reach the same levels as other global capital, smaller Chinese cities, such as Chengu and Nanjing, still offer considerable value.

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